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Climate Goal “Will Be Dead Within a Few Years” Unless World Acts, UN Warns

Scientific American by Scientific American
Oct 25, 2024 11:00 am EDT
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October 25, 2024

3 min read

Climate Goal “Will Be Dead Within a Few Years” Unless World Acts, UN Warns

The world is well on track to blow past a goal of limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius that many countries have put at the center of their climate efforts

By Sara Schonhardt & E&E News

Mykyta Ivanov/Getty Images

CLIMATEWIRE | The world is well on track to blow past a goal many countries have enshrined as the beating heart of global climate efforts: 1.5 degrees Celsius.

If current trends continue, “there is virtually no chance” of limiting global warming over the past 170 years to 1.5 degrees, according to the latest emissions gap report from the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). Even in the most optimistic scenarios, where all countries deliver on their emission-cutting pledges, “there remains about a 3-in-4 chance that warming will exceed 1.5C,” it adds.

That temperature target has become the guidepost that countries use to craft their national climate plans. Efforts to cut climate pollution and build resilience are measured against it. Keeping it alive has become a rallying cry at consecutive global climate conferences among activists and officials.


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But there’s been increasing pushback among some in the scientific community about the feasibility of that target since it would require immediate action in all countries and sectors and a massive scaling up of technology without delays or exorbitant costs.

“Even if this was even feasible to imagine, getting that to happen within the legal frameworks of countries is going to slow things down, not to mention if the population is not behind such changes,” Glen Peters, a senior researcher at the Centre for International…

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Scientific American

Scientific American

Scientific American, informally abbreviated SciAm or sometimes SA, is an American popular science magazine. Many famous scientists, including Albert Einstein and Nikola Tesla, have contributed articles to it. In print since 1845, it is the oldest continuously published magazine in the United States.

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